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35928 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

The market loved the news. Don't.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

I think this is like an important part of this. It's like this... you know, ridiculous, garbage fashion. I hated the market was up massively. But you know, the Dow and the Nasdaq are basically flat to slightly negative our partners over a poly market.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

I think this is like an important part of this. It's like this... you know, ridiculous, garbage fashion. I hated the market was up massively. But you know, the Dow and the Nasdaq are basically flat to slightly negative our partners over a poly market.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

have a nice market on the chances of a us recession that peaked at 66 during the liberation day chaos fallout and hey here we go now it's 38 so we're kind of uh maybe cleaning up the chaos he shook the globe uh the economic globe friedberg and now maybe as i think a lot of people are predicted He found an exit ramp. Maybe that was the plan all along. Maybe it's 4D chess.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

have a nice market on the chances of a us recession that peaked at 66 during the liberation day chaos fallout and hey here we go now it's 38 so we're kind of uh maybe cleaning up the chaos he shook the globe uh the economic globe friedberg and now maybe as i think a lot of people are predicted He found an exit ramp. Maybe that was the plan all along. Maybe it's 4D chess.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

Maybe he's reacting to the market. Maybe all that doesn't matter, but here we are. Dave Freeberg, when we look back on this whole trade, Trump, tariff, turmoil? What are we going to look back on this a year from now and think?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

Maybe he's reacting to the market. Maybe all that doesn't matter, but here we are. Dave Freeberg, when we look back on this whole trade, Trump, tariff, turmoil? What are we going to look back on this a year from now and think?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

Was it just a distraction or is it actually going to create a trillion dollars in tariff revenue and we're going to get rid of 150 people paying taxes who make under $150,000? What's going to happen with this when we look back on it a year or two from now?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

Was it just a distraction or is it actually going to create a trillion dollars in tariff revenue and we're going to get rid of 150 people paying taxes who make under $150,000? What's going to happen with this when we look back on it a year or two from now?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

Yeah, it's asking for a guess, right? Yeah.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

Yeah, it's asking for a guess, right? Yeah.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

Chamath, I know where you stand on this. He creates that big pothole crater. Everybody gets excited. It creates a lot of attention. And then maybe the real negotiation starts. So a year from now, when we look back on this, what would success look like for the Trump administration in Chamath Palihapitiya's mind and assessment?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

Chamath, I know where you stand on this. He creates that big pothole crater. Everybody gets excited. It creates a lot of attention. And then maybe the real negotiation starts. So a year from now, when we look back on this, what would success look like for the Trump administration in Chamath Palihapitiya's mind and assessment?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

And now we just need to- Well, and it was also globalists who wanted to make money, right? It's like- easier to make cheap stuff over there and then sell it here. And it's harder to make money.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

And now we just need to- Well, and it was also globalists who wanted to make money, right? It's like- easier to make cheap stuff over there and then sell it here. And it's harder to make money.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

All right. Well, here is the polymarket on tariffs generating greater than $250 billion in 2025 that we set or polymarket set. Basically, no chance that that's going to happen. So we will see, I think, everybody coming to the table and reciprocity betting.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

All right. Well, here is the polymarket on tariffs generating greater than $250 billion in 2025 that we set or polymarket set. Basically, no chance that that's going to happen. So we will see, I think, everybody coming to the table and reciprocity betting.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

I mean, because if it's reciprocity and we see us making more money or getting charged less fines to the examples we had earlier, then you could include those in it. But yeah, it's a hard bet to settle, but I think people believe it's not going to generate a massive amount of revenue.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

I mean, because if it's reciprocity and we see us making more money or getting charged less fines to the examples we had earlier, then you could include those in it. But yeah, it's a hard bet to settle, but I think people believe it's not going to generate a massive amount of revenue.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro

The relationship with China and this sort of changing concept of consumerism, you think that's a possibility for America? Do Americans just want cheap stuff on Amazon and an unlimited number of Amazon boxes in their recycle bin?