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Jason Bordoff

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
457 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

Because that increased consumer spending is flowing to domestic producers and their shareholders, and they're spending some of that money in our economy too.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

It's not flowing overseas the way that it used to.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

Well, U.S.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

producers are making a lot of money, and we should remember some of those are global, too, and they own assets.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

But yes, U.S.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

companies, their shareholders, their workers, oil producing states, of course, they all benefit from high prices.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

Well, there are the so-called physical markets and then paper markets, meaning like there's the price we see as a result of trading activity.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

And that is based a lot on expectations, not just the physical reality at any given moment.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

And so the price you're seeing includes what's happening, but also expectations about what is going to happen.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

And as I said a moment ago, if Trump tomorrow declares mission accomplished, we've done what we need to do.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

It's time to pull back, reopen the strait.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

It would take a couple of weeks, but eventually, you know, supplies come back reasonably quickly.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

And I went to bed, made a few notes last night before coming on your show about how high the oil price was and woke up to find oil prices had fallen dramatically because President Trump made some comments about how he had had very productive discussions with the Iranians and we were close to a resolution.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

The fundamental reality hasn't changed in the last 24 hours, but market prices fell dramatically.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

enormously because people had an expectation that things would come to an end reasonably quickly.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

So I think that helps to explain the disconnect.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

It also takes time for the physical disruption to show up in the market.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

You know, you load a tanker with a bunch of crude from Iraq or Saudi Arabia, and it can take two weeks to get to its destination.

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

So we still have some

The Ezra Klein Show
How Bad Could the Iran Oil Crisis Get?

that were loaded before this all happened that haven't even reached their destination yet.