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Jason Calacanis

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
25285 total appearances
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Voice samples: 17
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And we know what it's already done in California because the Hoover Institution just published something this morning.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And it's a complete indictment of what the billionaire tax was trying to do.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And by the way, this billionaire tax is only polling

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

Right now, 25% of the votes it needs.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

So maybe it'll find a way to get on the ballot.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And then even then, it'll have an uphill climb to get voted in.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

But look at the destruction that it has done in California by just announcing it.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

The Hoover Institution basically ran this Monte Carlo simulation.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

They ran 100,000 runs.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And in 71% of those runs, it comes out with a negative NPV.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And if you expected value it out, it's about a $25 billion hole.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

They also found that they overcounted the number of billionaires in California.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

So that number was wrong.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

They undercounted the amount of revenue that they pay.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

So that was wrong.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And they overcounted the estimate of how much money that they would make.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

So that was wrong.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

So they're not good at math.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

They're not good at math.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

So when you add it all up, they thought they were going to make 100.