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Jason Calacanis

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
21612 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

you know, foreign wars and your concerns about that.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

This one is from the bottom up.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

So I think that makes it quite different.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

Yeah.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

Yeah.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

Freeberg, you've been talking about this, and I think it was part of your predictions from the show last week, the prediction show.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

Here's your poly markets, and then I'll let you give your thoughts on it.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

Khomeini out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31st.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

That was up around 27% and now has dropped to a 10% chance.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

And will the regime fall before 2027?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

$2.6 million in volume, 37% chance.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

It's been up there as high as I think 50 some odd percent.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

And this is before the end of the year.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

So obviously a breaking news type situation by the time we tape on Thursdays, as everybody knows, come out on Fridays.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

So this could be radically changing, but just broad strokes.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

What are your thoughts here, Freeberg?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

Yeah, and the strikes didn't happen last night.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

Besant announced some increased sanctions.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

That always seems to be one of the best ways to handle this is to increase the economic pressure, as you pointed out, Freeberg.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, Solving Energy Costs, Billionaire Tax Backlash

And for people who don't, who are not familiar,