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Jason Calacanis

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
24715 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

I was like, okay, whatever.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

Then it went to 10.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

Then it went to 15.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

Then it went to 20.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And now it's upwards of $50 billion for the powered shell, for all the land, for all the permits, then for all the infrastructure, all the people, all of it.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

Okay.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

Sarah Fryer said, I think it was about a year ago, maybe less than a year ago, that for them, every gigawatt is about 10 billion of annual revenue.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

So if you think about that J curve, Jason, really the way to think about it is, look, energy equals intelligence.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

For every gigawatt that they're trying to spend, they have a five-year payback is roughly what it means just to get to break even.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And then year six, seven, and eight will be where the profit is.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

Now, how do you shrink the jQuery?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

You have better silicon.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

We're going to see something from Jensen in a week or two that uses a bunch of the stuff that we partnered with him at Grok on.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

There'll be other people.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

There'll be open source.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

So all those things can shrink the depth and the surface area of that j-curve so that you can get out of it faster.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

But right now, that thing is roughly accurate, which is it's about $50 billion per gigawatt.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And it's about a five to six-year payback just to get into the money.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And then it's about $10 billion a year.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare

And the technology industry has to do something to make this better.