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Jason Douglas

👤 Speaker
73 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

So as you mentioned, the Bank of Japan rated its policy rate to 0.75% today.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

That doesn't sound like much, but that is actually the highest it has been in 30 years.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

So Japan has had very low rates for really a very long time, right?

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

So they had a big asset price bubble, everything burst.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

And since 1990, rates have been very low.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

The Japanese economy was

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

as everyone will remember, battling deflation for most of that time.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

But then, like lots of other economies since the pandemic, we started to see inflation in Japan.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

This has started to stick around, even though the economy is kind of weak.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

And so the Bank of Japan is now starting very slowly to lift interest rates after all this time.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

That's right.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

One thing people are expecting or people are hoping for is that slightly higher rates in Japan might tempt Japanese investors to bring some money back home.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

So Japanese pension funds insurers, ordinary mom and pop investors are, you know, big investors in stock markets and bond markets around the world.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

High rates in Japan might tempt them to bring some of that money back home.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

So we did see this, for instance, in 2022.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

There was quite a big repatriation of funds from overseas.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

That would help support the yen, which would help in the inflation front.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

And it might help perk up demand for Japanese government bonds, which the government is eager to sell to finance its fiscal plans.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

So yes, we'll be watching to see if this gradually tempts Japanese investors home.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

There are lots of reasons why bond yields and interest rates are going up.