Jason Timp

The last thing that I would say is like that adjustment period thing I talked about, like how like it took a minute for the Thunder to kind of be like, oh, this is different.

I think that's going to similarly be what happens when the Knicks face layered rim protection with Jared Allen and Evan Mobley.

Like, I think it'll take them just a little bit to be like, okay, our shots are coming from different spots on the floor than they were in the last couple rounds.

So I just expect it to be a close game.

And if it's going to be a close game, then give me the team that's getting six and a half points.

I think the best value by far is on the Knicks.

The Knicks have beat the Spurs twice this season.

They just are a very different basketball team than... Let's be clear.

The Thunder are a better team than the Spurs.

The reason why I think the Spurs are going to win is very matchup-based.

Why?

Because the Thunder are a dribble-drive team.

They thrive on guards...

getting dribble penetration and kicking out to the perimeter.

And so Wemby just counters that super well, and they're so athletic on the perimeter that they can rotate well and make shooters uncomfortable.

The Knicks are fundamentally different because of the way that Carl Anthony Towns kind of inverts your spacing as like a traditional stretch five.

They are a five-out basketball team.

And so it creates these dynamics where Wemby's not at the rim as much as he typically would be.

For the record, I would still pick the Spurs to beat the Knicks, but I think it's closer than people think.

And so if I'm getting that line with the Knicks, I just think that's the best value compared to basically even odds on the Thunder and the Spurs.