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Jay Hatfield

👤 Person
59 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

Well, I think there's one area where people are concerned, and that's because parts, we've been saying for a while that there's no bubble in the market as a whole.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

But I do think there's bubbles in parts of the market, obviously crypto, but even with OpenAI, they traded 25 times revenue versus seven times for the MAG-8.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

And three times for the market.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

And that concern about open, and they have $1.4 trillion of obligations.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

So that concern is leaking into other companies like Oracle.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

But generally, most of the commitments are coming from the MAGAID, who have tremendous commitment.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

Not just cash flow, but free cash flow, great businesses.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

So we're not overall worried.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

And also, I just point out, it's not so much people think they're going to default.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

It's just supplying.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

Man, Oracle's CVS is like 110 over, which is not that attractive even for investment grade.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

So just that there had been a lot of issuance, that means that you have to pay more to issue.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

So we don't think it's a big credit concern, but there's...

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

an open issue about really whether open AI, if you will, will really be able to beat out Google and other incumbents in the long run and whether that's a little bit of a bubble.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

Well, we think it's probably that trade's getting a little bit tired.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

You'll notice that Oracle is bouncing back.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

You know, the stock was 50% higher or 33% higher, if you will.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

Yeah.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

50% upside from here just, you know, three weeks ago, three, four weeks ago.

Bloomberg Tech
Big Tech’s AI Debt Is Raising Investors’ Eyebrows

So we think that trade's probably fully done.

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