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Jay Hoag

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
412 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

In today's world, I don't think of it as quite as much as public or private.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

I think of it very much as a company selection criterion where we have a very private market, very bifurcated public market.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

Tech's always been a world where there are haves and have nots.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

The true category of leaders in a segment get very robust multiples and long-term value.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

And a lot of other companies don't get robust multiples and don't necessarily generate a lot of long-term value, be it a private or a public.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

So the original pitch, which remains true today, I think, and everything was a lot smaller, as I mentioned, venture.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

Venture was a lot smaller.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

Private equity is a lot smaller in 95.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

Think about KKR, others were still tiny enterprises.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

And growth didn't really exist.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

It wasn't viewed as a separate category.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

The way I think about it is early stage venture will invest in, to some extent, science projects, meaning undeveloped technology that...

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

They have to develop a product or service and prove that it works and it's cost effective and then start to ramp the monetization of the business.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

And inherent in that model is the successful ones can generate 50 or 100X return and return an entire fund.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

But I think inherent in the early stage model is very high loss rates.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

So it could be 30%, 50% for a seed or early stage fund.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

Successful ones, it's all baked in the model.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

You can end up with great funds.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

At the other end, large private equity, I tend to think of, and of course, they invest across all swaths of the economy, not just tech.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jay Hoag - Keys to Successful Growth Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.429]

They tend to be much bigger businesses, more slow growing.