Jeff Smith

einen Sermon zu geben, neben den pakistanischen Militärofficern und den pakistanischen Intelligenz-Officern, die den toten Terroristen beurteilen.

Yeah, exactly. You don't need to be an intelligence officer yourself to draw some of these connections. And you don't need to be an analyst to look at historical patterns and say, okay, of the last hundred terrorist attacks in Kashmir... 100 von ihnen wurden zurückgeleitet zu Gruppen mit Linken zur pakistanischen Militär- und Intelligenz-Service.

Yeah, exactly. You don't need to be an intelligence officer yourself to draw some of these connections. And you don't need to be an analyst to look at historical patterns and say, okay, of the last hundred terrorist attacks in Kashmir... 100 von ihnen wurden zurückgeleitet zu Gruppen mit Linken zur pakistanischen Militär- und Intelligenz-Service.

Yeah, exactly. You don't need to be an intelligence officer yourself to draw some of these connections. And you don't need to be an analyst to look at historical patterns and say, okay, of the last hundred terrorist attacks in Kashmir... 100 von ihnen wurden zurückgeleitet zu Gruppen mit Linken zur pakistanischen Militär- und Intelligenz-Service.

Also, was sind die Chancen, dass dieser auch ein Produkt des selben Militär- und Intelligenz-Komplexes war?

Also, was sind die Chancen, dass dieser auch ein Produkt des selben Militär- und Intelligenz-Komplexes war?

Also, was sind die Chancen, dass dieser auch ein Produkt des selben Militär- und Intelligenz-Komplexes war?

Well, I was hoping, frankly, that it would end after the first exchange and so We had a similar situation in 2016 and again in 2019 where, especially in 2019 bears the most resemblance here, where there was a terrorist attack in Kashmir, India felt compelled to respond, launched some strikes inside Pakistan, sort of minimal actual damage or casualties, but enough to say

Well, I was hoping, frankly, that it would end after the first exchange and so We had a similar situation in 2016 and again in 2019 where, especially in 2019 bears the most resemblance here, where there was a terrorist attack in Kashmir, India felt compelled to respond, launched some strikes inside Pakistan, sort of minimal actual damage or casualties, but enough to say

Well, I was hoping, frankly, that it would end after the first exchange and so We had a similar situation in 2016 and again in 2019 where, especially in 2019 bears the most resemblance here, where there was a terrorist attack in Kashmir, India felt compelled to respond, launched some strikes inside Pakistan, sort of minimal actual damage or casualties, but enough to say

to its own people that we gave a forceful response. In fact, we set a new precedent in 2019 by not just striking targets in Kashmir, but going beyond this disputed territory and actually striking terrorist targets in Pakistan proper, in the Pakistani homeland. So they set that new precedent in 2019.

to its own people that we gave a forceful response. In fact, we set a new precedent in 2019 by not just striking targets in Kashmir, but going beyond this disputed territory and actually striking terrorist targets in Pakistan proper, in the Pakistani homeland. So they set that new precedent in 2019.

to its own people that we gave a forceful response. In fact, we set a new precedent in 2019 by not just striking targets in Kashmir, but going beyond this disputed territory and actually striking terrorist targets in Pakistan proper, in the Pakistani homeland. So they set that new precedent in 2019.

Then we assumed after this terrorist attack, they were going to have to escalate that even further, which they did. So this time they struck targets in Kashmir, but they also went into the Pakistani heartland. And this time even further into the Pakistani heartland to prove a point. The hope was that Pakistan could...

Then we assumed after this terrorist attack, they were going to have to escalate that even further, which they did. So this time they struck targets in Kashmir, but they also went into the Pakistani heartland. And this time even further into the Pakistani heartland to prove a point. The hope was that Pakistan could...

Then we assumed after this terrorist attack, they were going to have to escalate that even further, which they did. So this time they struck targets in Kashmir, but they also went into the Pakistani heartland. And this time even further into the Pakistani heartland to prove a point. The hope was that Pakistan could...

Either claim victory by saying that maybe we downed an Indian aircraft and there's some evidence to suggest that one of their French aircraft was downed, although the pilot may well have ejected. But maybe one or up to three Indian aircraft were downed. Maybe Pakistan lobs some missiles back into Kashmir at a near Indian army base, but they don't hit anybody.

Either claim victory by saying that maybe we downed an Indian aircraft and there's some evidence to suggest that one of their French aircraft was downed, although the pilot may well have ejected. But maybe one or up to three Indian aircraft were downed. Maybe Pakistan lobs some missiles back into Kashmir at a near Indian army base, but they don't hit anybody.

Either claim victory by saying that maybe we downed an Indian aircraft and there's some evidence to suggest that one of their French aircraft was downed, although the pilot may well have ejected. But maybe one or up to three Indian aircraft were downed. Maybe Pakistan lobs some missiles back into Kashmir at a near Indian army base, but they don't hit anybody.

And then both sides can claim victory to their respective publics and go home. That's essentially what happened in 2019. That's what most of us thought would hopefully happen in this case. But both sides seem to be choosing escalation. I think Pakistan has had an off-ramp since the first exchange, but it chose not to take it. And it chose to respond with drone strikes on Indian military targets.