Jeffrey Skelley (FiveThirtyEight)

He's the brave one, going out into liberal la-la land and getting booed because he likes Trump.

Yeah, so Virginia has been Democratic-leaning over the last few years, but President Biden is now somewhat unpopular.

And I think voters are responding to that, and so the electoral environment is better for Republicans.

So we've got a close race in Virginia.

Young voters are really important because they are basically the most democratic-leaning group.

But one little interesting thing McAuliffe has done is run campaign ads attacking Glenn Youngkin because he was CEO of the Carlisle Group, which was involved in the purchase of Taylor Swift's master recordings.

And so they've been using this to try to get young people to pay attention to the race because there are a lot of young people out there, 18 to 34-year-olds, who really like Taylor Swift.

I think that's what the McAuliffe campaign is hoping.

Well, we don't have any polling on different fan groups of musical artists.

Yeah, it's a real niche.

I think I'd be careful about giving them too much weight, but there are a lot of young people who like Taylor Swift.

We know that's true.