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Jeremy Maletz

πŸ‘€ Speaker
274 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

And I saw the value of it.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

And I think 2016 election was like a place that it was really valuable because people had these massive risks they wanted to hedge.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

People would do it with these proxy products.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

Banks would put out baskets of like, put together all of these names.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

And the broad market consensus in 2016 was that the market was going to be down 5% to 7% if Trump won.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

And it turned out the market was up.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

It was literally just five minutes.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

But yeah, by the end of the next day, it was up.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

And so the hedge didn't work.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

But we saw the prediction market worked.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

If you actually just hedge this in a prediction market, it would work really well.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

Honestly, it doesn't seem like there's that much synergy.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

It's more just it evolved out of that of saying like, hey, we're involved in this space and we see how valuable prediction markets can be and we really want to make it happen.

Odd Lots
Why Susquehanna Is Building a Prediction Markets Business

And so I think that it's really just kind of an evolution as opposed to this is how we would draw it up from scratch.

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