Jessamyn Fairfield

would have huge implications for the climate of Ireland, mainly in terms of the humidity and the storms that we experience.

So potentially drier summers, wetter winters, but more extreme storms, which is already a consequence of climate change that we're kind of looking at.

And something that's quite relevant, like to me out in Galway, to anyone that's living near the coast, but actually just to the country as a whole.

What's that called?

Ice bad planet.

Yeah, that one.

Three.

The reckoning.

Are we not talking about that?

Well, it depends on where you are in the world, right?

So the problem, too, is that all of these things are connected.

So we could have differing temperatures from the AMOC collapsing, which mainly would be lowering the temperatures, but we're also seeing rising in temperatures from climate change and global warming.

So...

For us, the temperature difference might not be as extreme as it would be in other parts of Europe potentially, but the overall impact on our climate will be very bad.

Yeah.

Yeah, well, so the thing that's surprising about this is I think the collapse of AMOC used to be considered, you know, a potentially high impact but low probability event.

And now this new study, the one that's in the news this week, which came from the INRIA Research Center in Bordeaux, is basically adding new actual data sets from the observations of the Earth's oceans to the models that have been used to develop and understand what AMOC does, even though we can't observe it directly all the time.

And unfortunately, now this slowdown is predicted to be much stronger than previously anticipated.

The uncertainty around the prediction is smaller than it was before, so there's less of a chance that we're just kind of measuring it wrong or that the model is wrong.

And it's considered very likely that basically by the end of the century, in 2100, we'll be looking at a slowdown of 42% to 58%, which would pretty much guarantee a collapse of the current.