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Jim Chanos

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
160 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

And again, we just don't have complete transparency as to what's going on.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

And given the news in the subprime auto space of defaults, bankruptcies, rising delinquencies, the fact that Carvana seems to be sailing through it with nary a scratch stretches credulity, in my opinion.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

We're still short cut on it.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

This is a really odd one.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

We wrote about this with another firm, my brother's firm,

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

in February pointing out that this company was a real kind of unique animal in the US publicly traded insurance space.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

They had set themselves up as a servicing company and had the insurance, all of the insurance operations, which were massive, I think the eighth largest insurer in the US, owned by the policy holders.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

But those companies have no employees, no directors, and Erie itself handles all that for a flat fee of 25% of premium.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

Well, last week, a couple things happened.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

A lawsuit was given a go-ahead by policyholders who said they're being raped by the high fees.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

But just as ominously, the National Association of Insurance Commissioners have now taken notice and saying, gee, we're gonna set up a working group to study this because the incentives are wrong.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

There's incentives for you just to book business because your revenues come off the top line.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

And we point out that

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

The company's earnings are supposedly $12 per share, but if you actually consolidated them, as you should, in our opinion, and as they've done in the past, post-Enron, the earnings would be 40%, 50% or lower.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

It's a kind of one-off accounting story that has been under the radar for a lot of people.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

And it just, again, this is kind of a simple, they control these insurance companies.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

And the insurance companies have very cyclical up and down earnings.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

They lost a lot of money in the last quarter, for example.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

But Erie has smoothed it out by this construct.

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Chanos Talks Credit Markets, Bitcoin

And we just think it's an accounting game.

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