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Jim Pickard

πŸ‘€ Speaker
237 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

And the Lib Dems have had a sort of okay-ish performance.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

But what this basically is, it is the reality on the ground and local government catching up with opinion polls, which have been telling us for over a year that reform is relatively much more popular than

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

than the other political parties.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

And therefore, it's come from almost nowhere.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

Remember, Nigel Farage only set the party up five years ago.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

It's coming from nowhere.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

It's going to end the week, I suspect, a couple of thousand seats up.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

Now, the only glimmer of hopes for the Labour Party, and of course, the tension is already turning to what is the mood in the parliamentary Labour Party?

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

Are they going to try and depose Sir Keir Starmer?

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

Have they got the foggiest idea inside number 10 and outside number 10 where they should be going?

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

The two glimmers of hope they've got is that, firstly, the expectation management on this from academia was quite positive from Labour's perspective because you had very respected political professors saying that the Labour Party could lose 1,800, 1,900 seats.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

And now, as the results are coming through, they're suggesting that it might be

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

closer to 1200, 1300.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

We obviously don't know.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

And then the second glimmer of hope is that if the result lands in that area, it would be very similar to 1999.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

We're going to hear that 1999 repeated over and over, which is when Tony Blair, two years into his first premiership, lost 1100 seats and then went on to win the 2001 general election.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

I think it isn't the figure that Labour's currently losing about 70% of the seats that they held, whereas I think in 1999 that figure of 1,100 was only about 23%.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

Yeah, exactly.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

Yeah, I think Nigel Farage has every right to sound and feel triumphalist right now, because who wouldn't be impressed by a party that's gone from basically nothing to being ahead in the polls, taking a couple of thousand council seats.

FT News Briefing
Political Fix Election special: snap analysis

We haven't got the Welsh results yet, but they'll probably become first or second in Wales.