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Joe Leahy

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
168 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

That was one of the first things I noticed.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

I used to go to China in the 90s and then the 2000s.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

And it was always very noisy with trucks and motorbikes like any city.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

And now it's just strangely quiet.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

It's kind of almost surreal.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

Well, I think the states don't need to be bothered because they already got de-industrialized by China shock 1.0.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

But I think the interesting thing is, you know, China, since they came out with this plan made in China 2025 in 2015, and they targeted all of these sectors from shipbuilding, trains, supercomputers, everything.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

And they're sort of gradually meeting those targets.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

And now, square in their sights, all of the industries that Europe traditionally has been very good at.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

Yeah, the Southeast Asia case is particularly interesting because these are developing economies that had hoped to continue down the path of industrial progress, but China's essentially doing everything.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

It's doing everything from textiles and shoes all the way to EV exports, power machinery, everything.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

So there's really nothing left for these countries to do, and they're losing jobs.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

If it is the case, Joe, that China...

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

is focusing on high value, but subsidized and state mandated production.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

And along with those EVs and machine tools, it is exporting to the rest of the world.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

It's essentially exporting unemployment to the rest of the world.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

Why doesn't this end in a terrible political conflict?

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

In other words, can China expect the rest of the world to stand for this industrial policy?

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

I mean, that's a great point, Robert.