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Joe Leahy

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
168 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

So the subsidies are huge, and also they set these targets, these growth targets, so the local officials need to meet those targets.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

So they're investing in production.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

If you produce in a certain area, that local government collects some of that value-added tax.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

So that's another incentive for local governments to set up production and not close it down.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

So you have all of this weird sort of nexus between local government, central government.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

Central government sets the targets, pumps money in through local government bonds.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

Local governments take this money, follow their production targets, and then they set up this production capacity and then don't let it shut down.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

even if it's not making money.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

So Michael Pettis calls Chinese companies competitive, but not necessarily efficient.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

The very big Chinese companies do have a Communist Party representative on the board.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

So if the party says, OK, we need you to do something for us, or the MSS, the Ministry of State Security, says we need you to do something for us, they have to do it.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

Yeah, I mean, it is enormous.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

And I was just looking before, I think China has production capacity for solar panels that's double global demand at the moment.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

So this system, this is what it does.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

It's very good at producing, at actually producing production capacity, if you like.

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

Where are they putting the other half of the panels?

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

Is there like a gigantic warehouse in central China full of unused solar panels?

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

I think that's what I...

Unhedged
China Shock 2.0

One of those ghost cities.