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Joe Lonsdale

👤 Person
2262 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

There's stuff like that where I think there's some things that it's doing new methods and like, you know, the great example was the very famous Go game, right? Where it like played that new type of move that was like move 37 and it was like everyone studied it and like, wow, I never thought of that before. And it was like really, really cool that it figured it out.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

So there are some constrained ways areas worth doing that. But I think reality is too unconstrained. It's not good enough yet to build the conceptual structures to do that. Can it do that the next five or 10 years? Very possibly, but you're right, it's not yet.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

So there are some constrained ways areas worth doing that. But I think reality is too unconstrained. It's not good enough yet to build the conceptual structures to do that. Can it do that the next five or 10 years? Very possibly, but you're right, it's not yet.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

So there are some constrained ways areas worth doing that. But I think reality is too unconstrained. It's not good enough yet to build the conceptual structures to do that. Can it do that the next five or 10 years? Very possibly, but you're right, it's not yet.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

You know, it's really interesting. All I have to admit is that, you know, some of my friends were involved in building open AI. Some guys worked at Palantiraki there and I was watching them a little bit. I wasn't that focused on it and I thought it was pretty interesting, but I just, I didn't realize the breakthrough they're going to have.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

You know, it's really interesting. All I have to admit is that, you know, some of my friends were involved in building open AI. Some guys worked at Palantiraki there and I was watching them a little bit. I wasn't that focused on it and I thought it was pretty interesting, but I just, I didn't realize the breakthrough they're going to have.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

You know, it's really interesting. All I have to admit is that, you know, some of my friends were involved in building open AI. Some guys worked at Palantiraki there and I was watching them a little bit. I wasn't that focused on it and I thought it was pretty interesting, but I just, I didn't realize the breakthrough they're going to have.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

So I have to admit, I would have loved to say I'm so smart that I knew this was coming. I didn't realize the emergent properties that would come out of GPT-3, you know, at that point. Once that happened, you can kind of predict GPT-4 and 5. You know, it seems like it keeps getting better, which is scary.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

So I have to admit, I would have loved to say I'm so smart that I knew this was coming. I didn't realize the emergent properties that would come out of GPT-3, you know, at that point. Once that happened, you can kind of predict GPT-4 and 5. You know, it seems like it keeps getting better, which is scary.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

So I have to admit, I would have loved to say I'm so smart that I knew this was coming. I didn't realize the emergent properties that would come out of GPT-3, you know, at that point. Once that happened, you can kind of predict GPT-4 and 5. You know, it seems like it keeps getting better, which is scary.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

It's good for the world in some ways for productivity and other things, but it's, I don't know where, you know, I don't know where it asymptotes. I don't know where it starts to stop getting better. My intuition is that it's going to asymptote and it's going to not just be an exponential AGI explosion. Why?

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

It's good for the world in some ways for productivity and other things, but it's, I don't know where, you know, I don't know where it asymptotes. I don't know where it starts to stop getting better. My intuition is that it's going to asymptote and it's going to not just be an exponential AGI explosion. Why?

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

It's good for the world in some ways for productivity and other things, but it's, I don't know where, you know, I don't know where it asymptotes. I don't know where it starts to stop getting better. My intuition is that it's going to asymptote and it's going to not just be an exponential AGI explosion. Why?

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

I don't think for the things we were just talking about, that it's like fully understood all the properties of intelligence necessary to do what we do. And I think it's fundamentally a different type of intelligence.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

I don't think for the things we were just talking about, that it's like fully understood all the properties of intelligence necessary to do what we do. And I think it's fundamentally a different type of intelligence.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

I don't think for the things we were just talking about, that it's like fully understood all the properties of intelligence necessary to do what we do. And I think it's fundamentally a different type of intelligence.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

That's my intuition. But listen, I have people who are, I know who are geniuses who disagree with me. So this is, and because I didn't predict this in the first place.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

That's my intuition. But listen, I have people who are, I know who are geniuses who disagree with me. So this is, and because I didn't predict this in the first place.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

That's my intuition. But listen, I have people who are, I know who are geniuses who disagree with me. So this is, and because I didn't predict this in the first place.

Modern Wisdom
#934 - Joe Lonsdale - How To Win The War Of The Future

Exactly. So it's hard. It's hard for me to really know. I, what I do know for sure is there's trillions of dollars of industries already today. We can make twice or three times as productive as that's where kind of I'm working. So I'm like, I'm like, if you're a muggle, I'm like, maybe like, maybe like a mid-level wizard.