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Joe Weisenthal

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
3391 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

But with all that out of the way...

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

When you think about upward pressure on inflation and why you're so concerned about inflation, and we've talked about energy and all that, how much does the seeming inability of government after government to engage in fiscal consolidation, how much is that a factor when you think about the future trajectory of inflation?

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

I've done all the thought clearing for you.

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

We stipulate that it doesn't seem like there is any real impulse at fiscal consolidation or capacity right now.

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

So what does that mean?

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

But so just to push further, some of these fiscal choices, like the inviolability of, say, the triple lock, which, again, I'm not asking you whether these are good or bad policies, et cetera.

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

But are these contributors to the persistence of upside inflation risks?

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

Well, let me ask you a mechanical question about the bond market, which is, are the coupon payments, as we see yields rise, and this is a question for all developing economies, and it's certainly at least a little bit of an anxiety in the US as well, as we see those coupon payments rise, are we anywhere near where those interest payments themselves are creating an inflationary impulse in the UK, which economists would call fiscal dominance?

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

But that's a fiscal expenditure, that coupon payment.

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

And so the question is, is it of a size such that that fiscal expenditure, which the screens tell us is rising when we see the rates rising,

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

Is that large enough or is there a delta there such that that actually itself creates an inflationary impulse?

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

Okay.

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

Can I go back to something you said at the very beginning when I asked you about what is the remit or the objective of the central bank?

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

And you said one thing is to support the government.

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

And that is not like formally, I don't think that's part of the Fed, but I know that that's like why the whole bank, that's why the Bank of England was founded was to be the government's bank and to facilitate financing of the government.

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

Does that functionally change anything?

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

Does

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

Does that mean something substantively different in terms of the conduct of monetary policy within the BOE versus, say, another central bank when that's sort of like part of your founding charter?

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

There was an incident a few years ago in which the bank helped out the government a little bit.

Odd Lots
The Bank of England's Megan Greene on Monetary Policy in a World of Supply Shocks

Are they as vigorous as Prime Minister's questions?