John Amaechi

that our seven-day forecasts these days are as good as our three-day forecasts used to be just a couple or three decades ago. That's how good our forecasting has become. When these researchers are laid off, fired, you were losing the ability to continue to improve our models so that that type of improvement that we saw in the seven-day forecast can continue going forward.

And that's the mundane, everyday, you know, see it on TV forecast. But think of what else models do. Models help define or forecast what the future track of a hurricane is going to be. How good have we gotten at that? Pretty darn good, I want to tell you. Just this last year, National Hurricane Center had the best year of forecasting the track of hurricanes.

And that's the mundane, everyday, you know, see it on TV forecast. But think of what else models do. Models help define or forecast what the future track of a hurricane is going to be. How good have we gotten at that? Pretty darn good, I want to tell you. Just this last year, National Hurricane Center had the best year of forecasting the track of hurricanes.

Intensity forecasts still have some challenges. We're still trying to get better there. But how else do we learn to better forecast the intensity of hurricanes? We send hurricane hunters into the hurricanes to gather all this scientific data that we need. You know who got fired? Some of the mission commanders, some of the mission scientists for NOAA's hurricane hunter aircraft are gone.

Intensity forecasts still have some challenges. We're still trying to get better there. But how else do we learn to better forecast the intensity of hurricanes? We send hurricane hunters into the hurricanes to gather all this scientific data that we need. You know who got fired? Some of the mission commanders, some of the mission scientists for NOAA's hurricane hunter aircraft are gone.

right so that means potentially this very season less hurricane hunter aircraft going in to see what's going on with hurricanes less monitoring means worse forecasting so i mean that's just the observation side i haven't even talked about research haven't even talked about the actual issuing of the watches and the warnings which is done by national weather service folks who were already spread thin

right so that means potentially this very season less hurricane hunter aircraft going in to see what's going on with hurricanes less monitoring means worse forecasting so i mean that's just the observation side i haven't even talked about research haven't even talked about the actual issuing of the watches and the warnings which is done by national weather service folks who were already spread thin

These were offices that, you know, you had managers, the chief of the office, having to work, you know, midnight shifts because they don't have enough personnel to be able to carry the office going forward. So they were already thin-staffed. And now, even more so, the stress is increasing. And I think warnings... are going to be degraded in quality and timeliness.

These were offices that, you know, you had managers, the chief of the office, having to work, you know, midnight shifts because they don't have enough personnel to be able to carry the office going forward. So they were already thin-staffed. And now, even more so, the stress is increasing. And I think warnings... are going to be degraded in quality and timeliness.

And the ability, again, to save life and property will be impacted. So the examples are numerous, Billy. I could go on and on and on.

And the ability, again, to save life and property will be impacted. So the examples are numerous, Billy. I could go on and on and on.

You know, Billy, so since you're talking hurricanes, let me go ahead then and dispel this belief that is out there, especially in some of the darker places of the web, like X, right? Stormfront 4chan? Right. So, you know, I've seen out there the piece, you know, some people are saying, well, you know, what do I need NOAA on the National Weather Service for? You know, I've

You know, Billy, so since you're talking hurricanes, let me go ahead then and dispel this belief that is out there, especially in some of the darker places of the web, like X, right? Stormfront 4chan? Right. So, you know, I've seen out there the piece, you know, some people are saying, well, you know, what do I need NOAA on the National Weather Service for? You know, I've

I've got John Morales or, you know, insert name here of whoever the local favorite broadcast meteorologist happens to be. Well, I can't do my job without Noah on the National Weather Service. I am oftentimes the voice of the National Weather Service. And fine. I mean, I know. Over the years, I've editorialized forecasts quite a bit.

I've got John Morales or, you know, insert name here of whoever the local favorite broadcast meteorologist happens to be. Well, I can't do my job without Noah on the National Weather Service. I am oftentimes the voice of the National Weather Service. And fine. I mean, I know. Over the years, I've editorialized forecasts quite a bit.

I've given my opinion, yay or nay, on a National Weather Service or a National Hurricane Center forecast. And I guess that's what makes me me. But they are my vocal cords. I mean, you know, I've got no voice without them.

I've given my opinion, yay or nay, on a National Weather Service or a National Hurricane Center forecast. And I guess that's what makes me me. But they are my vocal cords. I mean, you know, I've got no voice without them.

This whole scaffolding example that I spoke at the beginning, where everything depends on what NOAA and the National Weather Service provide the private sector in terms of observations, in terms of modeling, in terms of research. Not just not John Morales, you know, can't properly do his job. Neither can AccuWeather. Neither can the Weather Channel, right?

This whole scaffolding example that I spoke at the beginning, where everything depends on what NOAA and the National Weather Service provide the private sector in terms of observations, in terms of modeling, in terms of research. Not just not John Morales, you know, can't properly do his job. Neither can AccuWeather. Neither can the Weather Channel, right?

And neither can those crap apps that people seem to like, which depend on... the modeling that NOAA and the National Weather Service provide. Granted, unfortunately, the reason the maps are so bad is because there is no human element in what you're looking at in an app.