John Collison
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
I don't know.
I think what we've been seeing, you know, clearly all of the breakthroughs that we've seen over the years have changed, you know, how we're building the system.
But the complexity of the problem is such that, like, you need to go through these iterative cycles, right?
It's not, you know, still, and we've seen many waves of technology, right?
There's, you know,
breakthroughs in, you know, 2013.
ImageNet came around.
Okay, like, that is the right time to start a BSL-driven company.
And, you know, Transformers came around, and, you know, VLMs, and all of those are super powerful.
And you have applications and other
spaces in the digital world, they certainly have an impact on, you know, our AI and the physical world.
There are no silver bullets, right?
They kind of, they drastically reshape that early part of the curve.
It's always been the nature of this problem.
It's very easy to get started.
It's deceptively easy to get started.
But it is super hard to go, you know, the full distance and get... It's, you know, the number of nines, right?
There's the standard...
you know, engineering rule of thumb that, you know, every next nine takes, you know, 10x more.
So I, yeah, maybe there is a more optimal path, but I don't see there's, you know, that there's some magical moment where the true complexity of the problem goes away and then you can just take some off-the-shelf components and you're a business, right?