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John Collison

πŸ‘€ Speaker
587 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

I don't know.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

I think what we've been seeing, you know, clearly all of the breakthroughs that we've seen over the years have changed, you know, how we're building the system.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

But the complexity of the problem is such that, like, you need to go through these iterative cycles, right?

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

It's not, you know, still, and we've seen many waves of technology, right?

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

There's, you know,

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

breakthroughs in, you know, 2013.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

ImageNet came around.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

Okay, like, that is the right time to start a BSL-driven company.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

And, you know, Transformers came around, and, you know, VLMs, and all of those are super powerful.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

And you have applications and other

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

spaces in the digital world, they certainly have an impact on, you know, our AI and the physical world.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

There are no silver bullets, right?

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

They kind of, they drastically reshape that early part of the curve.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

It's always been the nature of this problem.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

It's very easy to get started.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

It's deceptively easy to get started.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

But it is super hard to go, you know, the full distance and get... It's, you know, the number of nines, right?

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

There's the standard...

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

you know, engineering rule of thumb that, you know, every next nine takes, you know, 10x more.

The a16z Show
From Models to Mobility: Building Waymo with Dmitri Dolgov

So I, yeah, maybe there is a more optimal path, but I don't see there's, you know, that there's some magical moment where the true complexity of the problem goes away and then you can just take some off-the-shelf components and you're a business, right?