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John Coogan

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
4862 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

But what's interesting is that at this time of economic uncertainty and all these questions about hiring, questions about economic resilience, they are increasing revenues, increasing attendance, increasing customer spend.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

And that's what's driving the stock today.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

And so I was looking at these two companies and I was like, they sort of fit into this barbell thesis of the AI future, which I've been seeing pop up more and more.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

And the two examples that I always give are, one, the Ellison family is both like long slop and long anti-slop.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

have a ton of infrastructure investments in AI through Oracle.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

And then they own legacy media like Batman, Superman through Warner Brothers.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

And then Josh Kushner is doing a similar thing with OpenAI and the San Francisco Giants, like two completely opposite ends of the spectrum.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

So you can think of roller coasters as potentially like anti-slop because you can't vibe code Space Mountain.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

But it's interesting to sort of like dig into the weeds of what's going on in the

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

global economy and the American economy and seeing where the unsuspecting winners are.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

Ryan Peterson shared a chart from the Financial Times that perfectly illustrates our possible futures.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

This is so funny that this is in the Financial Times, but they fully embraced what happens in the human extinction tech singularity and the end of scarcity tech singularity.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

In the bull case,

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

Real GDP per capita goes north of a million dollars.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

And in the human extinction scenario, it goes to zero, of course.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

But the AI-boosted growth path is a steady trend upwards.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

And that is the goal that I think everyone should be working for, potentially the end of scarcity outcome as well.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

And I think this chart that Ryan shares is sort of I think why there's anxiety in the market because there's this, you know, the whole like you're not prepared if it's not a bubble concept, but there's like a dual anxiety where like if AI gets too good, there's mass unemployment, everyone's worried about that, but if AI is a bubble and it collapses, you go into a recession and everyone loses their job and like you're in a similar scenario of like economic anxiety for both

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

Not necessarily the true doomers.

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Apple-Intel Chip Deal, U.S Adds 115K Jobs, DeepSeek Eyes $50B Valuation | Diet TBPN

I mean, obviously they face a similar opinion.