John Rush

So SpaceX is going to have the capacity to go to the moon and put humans there. But Elon has never been really focused on the moon. He's super focused on getting to Mars. He wants to make humanity interplanetary. And the problem with Mars is that there's only a small window of time when you can actually launch a mission from Earth to Mars.

Because the planets, if they're on the opposite side of the solar system, it would just take forever to get there. So you need to wait for them to kind of line up next to each other. And that only happens every two and a half, maybe three years. And so there's going to be this very slow iteration where when the next transfer window comes up,

Because the planets, if they're on the opposite side of the solar system, it would just take forever to get there. So you need to wait for them to kind of line up next to each other. And that only happens every two and a half, maybe three years. And so there's going to be this very slow iteration where when the next transfer window comes up,

Because the planets, if they're on the opposite side of the solar system, it would just take forever to get there. So you need to wait for them to kind of line up next to each other. And that only happens every two and a half, maybe three years. And so there's going to be this very slow iteration where when the next transfer window comes up,

spacex is going to definitely try and launch a rocket to get there but it'll probably just be like robots and then the next one they're going to launch like 10 rockets during that window because they're going to have like three years so it's not like going to low earth orbit where they can just launch a new rocket every single day like they're doing now for the starlink satellites um so it's going to be it's going to be a longer process but i really think that just if we're going to get to mars humanity needs to start getting their reps in on the moon and the beauty of the moon is that a it's really close

spacex is going to definitely try and launch a rocket to get there but it'll probably just be like robots and then the next one they're going to launch like 10 rockets during that window because they're going to have like three years so it's not like going to low earth orbit where they can just launch a new rocket every single day like they're doing now for the starlink satellites um so it's going to be it's going to be a longer process but i really think that just if we're going to get to mars humanity needs to start getting their reps in on the moon and the beauty of the moon is that a it's really close

spacex is going to definitely try and launch a rocket to get there but it'll probably just be like robots and then the next one they're going to launch like 10 rockets during that window because they're going to have like three years so it's not like going to low earth orbit where they can just launch a new rocket every single day like they're doing now for the starlink satellites um so it's going to be it's going to be a longer process but i really think that just if we're going to get to mars humanity needs to start getting their reps in on the moon and the beauty of the moon is that a it's really close

you can always get to it and you can always get back from it because if you plant an emergency escape pod on the moon, as long as you're on the earth facing side, the moon is locked in orbit so it always faces earth. So it's never the situation that you're like, oh, my escape pod is pointing at the sun and it's not pointing at earth. Like it's always pointing at earth.

you can always get to it and you can always get back from it because if you plant an emergency escape pod on the moon, as long as you're on the earth facing side, the moon is locked in orbit so it always faces earth. So it's never the situation that you're like, oh, my escape pod is pointing at the sun and it's not pointing at earth. Like it's always pointing at earth.

you can always get to it and you can always get back from it because if you plant an emergency escape pod on the moon, as long as you're on the earth facing side, the moon is locked in orbit so it always faces earth. So it's never the situation that you're like, oh, my escape pod is pointing at the sun and it's not pointing at earth. Like it's always pointing at earth.

So worst case scenario, you know, like this is kind of silly, but like sci-fi scenario, like there's a crack in my spacesuit helmet. You could literally just dive into your escape pod, smash the big red button and it shoots you back to earth and you're back in the Pacific ocean in like, you know, a couple hours or I don't know how long it takes, but like, you know, not long guaranteed to be there.

So worst case scenario, you know, like this is kind of silly, but like sci-fi scenario, like there's a crack in my spacesuit helmet. You could literally just dive into your escape pod, smash the big red button and it shoots you back to earth and you're back in the Pacific ocean in like, you know, a couple hours or I don't know how long it takes, but like, you know, not long guaranteed to be there.

So worst case scenario, you know, like this is kind of silly, but like sci-fi scenario, like there's a crack in my spacesuit helmet. You could literally just dive into your escape pod, smash the big red button and it shoots you back to earth and you're back in the Pacific ocean in like, you know, a couple hours or I don't know how long it takes, but like, you know, not long guaranteed to be there.

Now, worst case scenario, like you landed North Korea or something, but for the most part, like at least you're back on earth. Um, and maybe there's a little bit of steering that can try and get you to somewhere that's a little bit friendlier, but it just seems like the bar to colonizing the moon is like orders of magnitude lower than, um, than, than Mars.

Now, worst case scenario, like you landed North Korea or something, but for the most part, like at least you're back on earth. Um, and maybe there's a little bit of steering that can try and get you to somewhere that's a little bit friendlier, but it just seems like the bar to colonizing the moon is like orders of magnitude lower than, um, than, than Mars.

Now, worst case scenario, like you landed North Korea or something, but for the most part, like at least you're back on earth. Um, and maybe there's a little bit of steering that can try and get you to somewhere that's a little bit friendlier, but it just seems like the bar to colonizing the moon is like orders of magnitude lower than, um, than, than Mars.

And so the question is like, who's going to build this? Like 20-ish, 10, 10 to 20 years ago, there was a guy named Barney Pell who was, made a lot of money in the dot-com boom and started a company called Moon Express that was kind of targeting this idea of like, let's go do stuff on the moon. And I think he was just a little bit too early.

And so the question is like, who's going to build this? Like 20-ish, 10, 10 to 20 years ago, there was a guy named Barney Pell who was, made a lot of money in the dot-com boom and started a company called Moon Express that was kind of targeting this idea of like, let's go do stuff on the moon. And I think he was just a little bit too early.

And so the question is like, who's going to build this? Like 20-ish, 10, 10 to 20 years ago, there was a guy named Barney Pell who was, made a lot of money in the dot-com boom and started a company called Moon Express that was kind of targeting this idea of like, let's go do stuff on the moon. And I think he was just a little bit too early.

He was really well-funded, really talented guy, obviously, but he couldn't get it done. But now there's this interesting period where SpaceX will have the capacity and we will know the price. And there's been a number of companies that have gotten up and running on the basis of SpaceX's falling launch costs to low Earth orbit. So there's two examples that I think of. One is Varda.