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John Stevenson

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
39 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

I certainly think so.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

In terms of returns, Mike, there's no doubt that it's a...

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

It's a good time.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

We've seen strong milk prices.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

We've also, for Fonterra Farm, have seen strong returns on our shares.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

The thing to look out for, though, is the input costs, which are continuing to creep up.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

Certainly, looking at everything out there, future of the trading around 9.70, 9.80 for next year, that's

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

That seems about right, but hey look, the Fonterra boards make the decision on that.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

They have a lot more information than us, so we'll leave that to them on Thursday.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

We start pretty early in the morning, Mike, so it's not at the pub, I can tell you that, but it's certainly a lot of people I feel are sitting on it at the moment.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

There's a few that are sitting in bank accounts and

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

And things, you know, input costs like fertiliser in particular, 30% of that goes through the Strait of Hormuz and we're seeing DAP and urea up above 20% on last year.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

So that's certainly got people sitting on their hands a little bit.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

That's what we're hearing, certainly on the fertiliser side of things as well.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

I think there'll be some tail on that.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

I know of farmers, particularly cropping farmers, that do supply our dairy industry, a lot of them have stored furt and sheds in anticipation of either supply or price challenges in the spring.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

Certainly, like the dairy NZ break-even milk price at the moment is at $8.36.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

I'd expect that to creep up a bit, but, you know, there's still a decent margin in there, which, you know, is really good for farmers as they look to invest in technology, improve their efficiency and all that sort of thing.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

One of the most efficient dairy industries in the world.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
John Stevenson: Fonterra Co-Operative Council Chair on farmgate milk prices forecast to hit between $9.50 and $10

But if we stand still, we go backwards.

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