Jon Favreau

He understands, at least the people around him understand, that oil is a commodity.

There's a global oil market.

Just because we have a bunch of oil doesn't mean that we're not gonna be paying more for it if there is a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz.

He can't plead with our allies to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz because then he looks weak and he already pissed them off anyway by starting the war without consulting them and insulting them basically every single day since.

He has clearly decided that a U.S.

military operation to reopen the Strait or to take control of the Strait is too risky.

So he's not doing that.

But he also knows like he does.

So he doesn't know what to do.

So basically, he's going to say we don't need it.

But then he's now negging Europe and other countries to reopen it for us and saying and like making himself sound tough because he can't say the truth, which is we're fucked.

We have no idea how to open the Strait of Hormuz.

And we're just going to pretend that some other countries will open it or it'll open fucking naturally.

And then we won't have to worry about anything.

And that's just one example of the many contradictory, conflicting messages in that speech.

And again, it's like...

Both a threat and a negotiation require you to demand something.

What are we demanding?

Because in that speech, we won.

We bombed everything.