Jonathan Schanzer
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Podcast Appearances
A sea spotter, or you could even call it a hostage deal, a prisoner swap. You know, you can call it whatever you want. But I mean, I think ceasefire is probably 42 day ceasefire is probably the most accurate way of describing it. You mentioned that 42 days. What does that mean? That's the time that they're not going to release all 33 hostages all at once. Hamas doesn't want to do that.
A sea spotter, or you could even call it a hostage deal, a prisoner swap. You know, you can call it whatever you want. But I mean, I think ceasefire is probably 42 day ceasefire is probably the most accurate way of describing it. You mentioned that 42 days. What does that mean? That's the time that they're not going to release all 33 hostages all at once. Hamas doesn't want to do that.
A sea spotter, or you could even call it a hostage deal, a prisoner swap. You know, you can call it whatever you want. But I mean, I think ceasefire is probably 42 day ceasefire is probably the most accurate way of describing it. You mentioned that 42 days. What does that mean? That's the time that they're not going to release all 33 hostages all at once. Hamas doesn't want to do that.
So what they're going to do is, I mean, the first tranche of hostages are going to come on Sunday, according to the reports that I've seen. And then they'll probably wait a couple of days and then they'll release two or three more and then they'll wait a couple of days after that.
So what they're going to do is, I mean, the first tranche of hostages are going to come on Sunday, according to the reports that I've seen. And then they'll probably wait a couple of days and then they'll release two or three more and then they'll wait a couple of days after that.
So what they're going to do is, I mean, the first tranche of hostages are going to come on Sunday, according to the reports that I've seen. And then they'll probably wait a couple of days and then they'll release two or three more and then they'll wait a couple of days after that.
This is going to be the way that Hamas ensures that the group gets an opportunity to get back off of its knees, onto its feet, try to reorganize their ability to fight. These are the sorts of things that I expect Hamas to do when they ask for these 42 days because they need the room to breathe. The Israelis had cut off all of the pipeline of their weapons.
This is going to be the way that Hamas ensures that the group gets an opportunity to get back off of its knees, onto its feet, try to reorganize their ability to fight. These are the sorts of things that I expect Hamas to do when they ask for these 42 days because they need the room to breathe. The Israelis had cut off all of the pipeline of their weapons.
This is going to be the way that Hamas ensures that the group gets an opportunity to get back off of its knees, onto its feet, try to reorganize their ability to fight. These are the sorts of things that I expect Hamas to do when they ask for these 42 days because they need the room to breathe. The Israelis had cut off all of the pipeline of their weapons.
They'd been just mowing down the fighters on the battlefield. So Hamas needs to figure out what its new game plan is. Israel has agreed to let them try. And this is what's so counterintuitive. Everyone knows that Hamas is going to try to take these 42 days to get stronger, to be able to fight Israel with new strategies and new tactics.
They'd been just mowing down the fighters on the battlefield. So Hamas needs to figure out what its new game plan is. Israel has agreed to let them try. And this is what's so counterintuitive. Everyone knows that Hamas is going to try to take these 42 days to get stronger, to be able to fight Israel with new strategies and new tactics.
They'd been just mowing down the fighters on the battlefield. So Hamas needs to figure out what its new game plan is. Israel has agreed to let them try. And this is what's so counterintuitive. Everyone knows that Hamas is going to try to take these 42 days to get stronger, to be able to fight Israel with new strategies and new tactics.
The Israelis are confident enough in their military and their intelligence and the tactics and strategies that they have, that they're okay with that if they get back 33 souls that have been held in Hamas custody in really grueling conditions.
The Israelis are confident enough in their military and their intelligence and the tactics and strategies that they have, that they're okay with that if they get back 33 souls that have been held in Hamas custody in really grueling conditions.
The Israelis are confident enough in their military and their intelligence and the tactics and strategies that they have, that they're okay with that if they get back 33 souls that have been held in Hamas custody in really grueling conditions.
So far, they're... Well, okay, right now there's 98 hostages still in Hamas custody. Unclear how many of them are alive, how many of them are dead. We just don't know. I'm not even sure that Hamas knows. You're going to get back out of those 98, you're going to get back 33. If the Israelis go to a second round, phase two, then there could be more.
So far, they're... Well, okay, right now there's 98 hostages still in Hamas custody. Unclear how many of them are alive, how many of them are dead. We just don't know. I'm not even sure that Hamas knows. You're going to get back out of those 98, you're going to get back 33. If the Israelis go to a second round, phase two, then there could be more.
So far, they're... Well, okay, right now there's 98 hostages still in Hamas custody. Unclear how many of them are alive, how many of them are dead. We just don't know. I'm not even sure that Hamas knows. You're going to get back out of those 98, you're going to get back 33. If the Israelis go to a second round, phase two, then there could be more.
But the people there that would be released would be men of fighting age. So, you know, between, let's say, 17 or 18 and, you know, up to, let's say, 40 or 50, even 50 years old. But I don't expect there to be a phase two. I think the Israelis are not likely to want to go that long and to allow Hamas to regroup for any longer than they'll get in this first round. I think there is a sense here.
But the people there that would be released would be men of fighting age. So, you know, between, let's say, 17 or 18 and, you know, up to, let's say, 40 or 50, even 50 years old. But I don't expect there to be a phase two. I think the Israelis are not likely to want to go that long and to allow Hamas to regroup for any longer than they'll get in this first round. I think there is a sense here.