Jonathan Schanzer

That stuff is probably going to do more damage to the regime than hitting them with munitions that we want to save for other things.

There could be other phases to this, too, covert stuff or what have you.

But I think the president's being smart here to not get goaded in to a conflict where we start dropping more weapons and put ourselves potentially in a tight spot further on down the line when we should be looking to replenish and reload.

Yeah, look, you're right.

They're going to try to pass on the pain.

It's what they've been doing for decades now is we've had sanctions on this regime.

And, you know, it's it's kind of ebbed and flowed.

There have been times where we've really heaped on the pressure at times where we've relaxed it.

Obviously, the Obama administration being the prime example of that.

But Biden also relaxed some of these.

Trump's heaped it back on.

Right.

We saw the maximum pressure campaign from the first administration.

We're going to see it, I think, ramp up even further right now.

But I think the real question is, you know, you cap those wells, right?

And that's going to come in the next week or two.

And that's going to significantly hinder the regime's ability to bring in more cash.

They can't export through the Strait of Hormuz.

That's something like 15% of their economy already shut down with more on the way.

If they can't make payroll and you start to have the loyalists,