Jose Luis Granados Ceja
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And, you know, I think that's
One of the reasons they also acted yesterday is that there's very small windows of opportunity.
These are wily actors.
I mean, how many times did El Chapo escape from custody, right?
It's only because he's been extradited and it's more difficult for him to be able to kind of engage in the bribery that it takes to be able to get free that he's still in custody today.
And so I think that window, they saw it as a good one to act.
And yes, cognizant of the consequences in terms of what will happen next.
The case of Cartel Jalisco Nueva GeneraciΓ³n is curious, too, because
You know, for example, with the, you know, the ex, I don't know what to call it, because he wasn't extradited, the kidnapping of El Mayo, you know, that created a lot of unrest as well.
But I think that's because there was already kind of a dispute internally between rival factions inside of that cartel, where you had the Chapitos and the Mayitos.
And so that's part of why we saw so much more violence.
And this one, it doesn't look like there's a natural successor.
A lot of his closest associates and Mitchell's closest associates are either dead or in jail.
And so, you know, his son is already detained.
His daughters are not that active.
So it's not clear who will take over.
There's likely going to be a lot of internal power disputes and they're going to do it
through violence.
And so there it's important to see in terms of what's the actual capacity of the Mexican National Guard, the Mexican Armed Forces to ensure security, particularly in these kinds of hot spots where they are most active.
That really is the major challenge today.