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Josh Brown

πŸ‘€ Speaker
5157 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

Salesforce, Consolation, Atlassian, et cetera, just absolutely kneecapped.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

The next chart is showing historical iconic disruptions.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

So think about, we all know what Netflix did to Blockbuster, what Amazon did to Radio Shack, what Amazon did to Borders.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

And he's showing like the cumulative return, these stocks basically go to zero versus what happens to the disruptors.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

Obviously they go on to generate extraordinary wealth.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

But what's really face-blowing is you don't,

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

You see the stock perform, you see the stock react in many cases a lot quicker than the fundamentals deteriorate.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

So we've spoken on the show, hey, Adobe, like it keeps, it just keeps hitting all time highs in terms of the earnings per share.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

The earnings per share keep going higher, but the market keeps saying, don't believe you, this is a zero.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

Like this is, and I'm exaggerating, but like the market is saying, this is not sustainable.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

I don't care what your earnings are today because the ultimate goal

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

Settle point is, that's not a phrase.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

The terminal value is a fraction of what it is today.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

Next chart.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

So again, we're using Blockbuster, Borders, McClatchy, which was, what was this?

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

I can't remember what that was.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

Encyclopedias, I forget.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

And RadioShack.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

And look at revenue per share, like of RadioShack in particular.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

look what happened to the stock compared to the revenue the stock was already like down 80 before the revenue peaked which is really you know f's with your head same thing with borders holy the stock was basically a zero before the revenue peaked so uh what do you guys think about where we are is adobe ultimately just going to get vibed into the stone age