Josh Duhamel

If you define it as, I mean, the basic U.S.

definition was we wanted everything in the world with no costs.

You know, we wanted to kill the leadership of Iran.

We wanted to replace it peacefully and

with our people um we wanted to keep israel on side and and we wanted to keep the mega coalition together that was basically the white house's goal um and that's obviously fails spectacularly um the iranian goal um is survival and then additionally within the iranian government itself there are probably partners sorry there are probably forces within the iranian government that are actually pretty happy by how this is has gone all things considered

There were basically two views on Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader.

View number one, he was keeping the system together.

And view number two, which I'm more persuaded by, which was that he was an 88 or 87 year old jaredocrat that was, you know, in the way of, you know, more ambitious younger people, including maybe his son, depending on his on his position.

I mean, basically, the Iranians are have developed into a junta.

They are run by the Revolutionary Guards and they have discovered a new toy.

which is that they can shut down the trade for news they always theoretically knew that but it's one thing to know something in theory and to see it in practice so i zoom out here on march 25th um i it is hard to see how the united states is better off for this war and if that is the goal if the goal of a war is to have strategic gains this war was a clear error

I think at this point, given how this has gone, every time that President Trump has mobilized military assets, he's eventually used them.

It might take, you know, he initially started mobilizing these assets in January.

He used them by the end of February.

So I think base case, we are going to do it.

I think that there is a mobilization and an effort to try to potentially take this thing called Karta Island, which is in the Persian Gulf right off the coast of mainland Iran.

I think its military value and financial value is dubious and overstated.

But I think hawks on Iran are going to persuade Trump to try to take it piece by piece.

And I think you could see it be a potential mass fatality event.

What is mass fatalities?