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Kathryn Anne Edwards

πŸ‘€ Speaker
608 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

I would just like the tax code to be good the first time but achieve the same thing.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

So your second question is,

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Yes, Jamie Dimon said recessions are things that happen every seven years.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

I actually just wrote a newsletter about this where I talk about how this is almost a problem with the way that economists gatekeep formal language, that we tend to put a weight on something when it becomes officially inflation or officially a recession.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

But that if you look at the labor market right now, I mean, it is a recession for the people who are unemployed, but economists have decided that there's not enough of them

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

for it to be a recession, a recession.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

So I'm with you.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

We have not gone from sliding from expansion to decline kind of slowly, hard to see in real time.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

We haven't done that since the end of 2007.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

I mean, we're out of practice to see it.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

But I think that my problem with recessions is not that they don't

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

they're maybe not as big of a deal or they don't have harm because there is some momentum that goes behind saying that the economy is in recession and it has its own negative consequences.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

I think I'm more concerned that the level of tolerance we're willing to have for suffering in the labor market has gotten rather high.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Yeah, and I think people would get really upset if they knew just how muchβ€” how adherent W-2 workers are to their taxes owed relativeβ€” I mean, it's not even that there's a tax gap and it's spread around.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

It's reallyβ€” If you have a wage and salary jobβ€”

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

You pay taxes like you are the sucker.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

But I think to me that gets at the broader point of, you know, there was a tax commission put together in the first Bush administration, maybe second Bush administration, second term of the second Bush administration.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

God, politics is so incestuous these days.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

In the second term of the second Bush administration, there was a tax commission put together of design tax reform.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

And the very first word of their analysis was simple.