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Kathryn Anne Edwards

πŸ‘€ Speaker
608 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

It's been resilient, more resilient than a lot of people expected it would be, but that doesn't mean that it's impervious to economic policy that's meant to cause harm.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Policy like deportation, policy like gutting the federal government, policy like tariffs.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

And now, add to the mix, policy like Iran.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Health and education are doing great.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Everybody else is doing some type of bad.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Health and education jobs tend to be educated women.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Not necessarily highly educated women, but at least a high school degree.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

You'll have lots of technical occupations, master's degrees, all the way up to doctors.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

That is the only sector of the economy that is showing consistent and reliable strength.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Everybody else is on some form of decline, either holding steady or outright shedding jobs for the last 12 months.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Now, men and women don't hold the same job, and neither do people of different ages or different races.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

And so a lot of the pain in the economy is proxied through the type of job you are more likely to hold.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

I saw a Bank of America reportβ€”I don't know if you all had seen this, it was written up in the New York Timesβ€”of just howβ€”

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Kind of ironically enough, beneficial the Biden administration was for men's employment, given that it had put so much money into manufacturing, as opposed to 2025, the first year of the second Trump administration, manufacturing shed a pretty remarkable number of jobs.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

You see that pattern if you look hard enough at any job.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

So you're also going to see that, you know, middle-aged Black women in, like, the D.C.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

metro area were going to be hit hard by Doge versus, you know, younger graduates that have a doctorate are in health or education, you know, they'll do okay.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Those patterns hold for a lot of reasons.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

Yeah.

Prof G Markets
Is the Labor Market About to Tip Us Into Recession?

I was reading today that a very prominent economist was saying that the answer to this puzzle of men's unemployment is to make certain jobs less feminine because they seem to be the ones that are growing for the future.