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Kathryn Anne Edwards

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
608 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

It just took it down a little bit, you know.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

But I would be remiss if I didn't say any reliance on one single number produced by the data is not the right way to interpret it.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

The economy always moves in directions and not with the numbers.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

So that

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

It's a lesson to not focus too much on the number, more so the relative position of the economy.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

This report today is a great example.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

Is 130,000 good or bad?

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

Well, would your opinion change if it went from 110 to 150, you know, the range of a typical revision?

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

No, you would still think this is a pretty middling job report and the U.S.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

economy should be adding more, but you're going to be grateful that it wasn't a really low number because we've had such a weak year.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

So I think about it that way of just take whatever is the jobs number, add 25,000 to each side, and ask if it would really change your opinion of the report.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

Young people are always doing worse in the job market because they have less experience and they have less financial responsibilities.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

So they're also able to kind of ride out a bad labor market for longer because they are not, you know, most 21-year-olds don't have mortgages.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

They don't have children.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

They don't have childcare payments and so on.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

So they are both weaker in how they're treated by the labor market and weaker in how they respond to that.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

this labor market in particular this low hiring almost frozen labor market that we see is particularly damaging to young people who are not getting their their foot in the door and again you know it's dropping to nine being up at 11 doesn't change the story on the ground which is that young people are not finding jobs and they're not finding them at the degree we want or the pace that we want

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

I welcome this slight dip.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

I didn't love that the 25 to 34-year-old rate jumped up a little bit.

Prof G Markets
The Jobs Report Is Worse Than It Looks

So you do wonder if a bunch of people just got a little older.