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Keith Rabois

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820 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

I think Goldman had it slightly under a doubling.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

So that was definitely the fear what folks had going into that weekend.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

But coming out of it, this is where I think you have to be very respectful of the fact that the market is really the sum of many, many, many millions of informed opinions.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

And I think what they saw was that Iran was not really in a position to do anything but capitulate and give up.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

And I think that what they also saw...

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

whether you agree with the Israeli policy or not, was that they had systematically gone from where they are and marched eastward, essentially.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

They effectively decapitated Hamas.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

They effectively decapitated Hezbollah.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

They effectively decapitated the Houthis.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

I think finally putting a nail in the coffin of this Iran nuclear ambition program was not just important for them, but it's critical for Saudi and the UAE.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

MBS had an incredibly powerful quote, which was, if Iran gets a nuclear weapon, we will have no choice but to get our own.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

By taking all of that risk off the table, what you're now talking about is an enormous supply that could essentially service world productivity needs unhindered.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

Because it's not just Iranian supply, you're talking about Emirati supply, and you're talking about Qatari supply, and you're talking about Saudi supply.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

So I think what the market realized was, okay, now the Middle East is the closest it's ever been

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

to fully monetizing the oil that they have and to invest aggressively into their own people.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

The second thing is that Steve Witkoff

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

spoke about the fact that you should expect the Abraham Accords to expand.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

So if you think about that one-two punch, not necessarily from a geopolitical lens, but from an economic lens, the first punch is neutering the Iranians' ability to be chaos monkeys in the region.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

But the second punch is the one that then now creates normalization across the region with Israel,

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

It double and triples down the ability to monetize oil and start to invest those returns in future projects that have a much better ROI.