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Kelvin Davidson

Kelvin Davidson

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
938 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

I don't fully understand it, but there's technical reasons why this might not genuinely be the number.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

The actual result could end up being a little bit higher because of sort of weightings of different sectors and they're always rebasing these things through time.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So revisions can be made.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So point two might just be a little bit softer than the real economy, the actual result.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So we could see that revised up in due course.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

But either way, still a little bit,

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

a little bit disappointing, I guess.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

I mean, farming was a strong contributor.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Construction went backwards again.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So, you know, there is that variability.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

It's not like everything's weak.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

There are some sectors of the economy doing okay.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

But yeah, generally,

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

added up to 0.2% growth, which was a little bit sort of understated, a little bit disappointing.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

I mean, you know, do we worry too much about it?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Not really, because it's always a bit outdated, and of course even more outdated now, given what's been going on.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

I mean, we're not going to know.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

I was thinking about it earlier that we'll get the Q1 GDP numbers in the middle of June.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

But even that's going to have January and February in it, which was unaffected by the Iran conflict.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So even those Q1 numbers will only have March in it.