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Kelvin Davidson

Kelvin Davidson

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1066 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So that should eventually bring inflation back down.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And, you know, the thing, I guess, that's been maybe missing, if you want to put it that way, on the housing market has probably been a confidence factor, a sort of job security factor.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Maybe that's starting to come back.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

But then, boom, along comes this Iran thing.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And that confidence factor is surely going to go missing again.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So, yeah, and that's going to be across the property market and the economy too.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So I think that's probably the thing in my mind mostly.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

But...

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

definitely going to have an inflation impact and if it feeds through to those second round effects and it feeds through to inflation expectations then yeah the reserve bank will we'll definitely have to do something at that point so we're maybe not there yet but um yeah there's a lot to watch

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

other news or comment that we had as well and wrap up for today yeah just so we comment about the property market and part of that selective price and indices indexes releases rents and so just to note that the property rents remain really weak the stock measure that Stats New Zealand publishes which is across all existing tenancies a sort of slower moving measure but

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

was only up by 0.9 over the past year that's that's the lowest annual change and and stop measure of rents for at least i think it was going back 18 19 years that there was as far back as i could see in the series so

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

I mean, property rent's just really, really weak at the moment.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Great for tenants, I guess.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Not so good for landlords.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

There's always that two sides.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

But yeah, so there's not much inflation coming from the property market anyway, whether you look at rents, house building costs, property prices themselves.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

It's all pretty soft.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And yeah, just to reiterate your comment about the Reserve Bank there, this is their absolute worst case position to be in.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

You've got

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

You've got a sluggish economy that's not really showing much growth.