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Kevin Hassett

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
571 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

But if you were to...

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

be as fiscally irresponsible as the previous Congress was, then you would for sure see inflation go up and affordability jump back into being like the change in affordability as bad as it was before.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

The thing is though that we've,

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

Basically, so far this year reduced the deficit for just this year by, I think it's 390 billion now.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

Calendar year.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

It's actually like a weird thing that she's right about the calendar year.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

The fiscal year, the previous fiscal year numbers don't look as good, but it was because in the first quarter of the previous fiscal year, Joe Biden was shoveling money out the window.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

And so about 40% of the deficit came from that first quarter because they were shoveling money out the window.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

So if you wonder how are we doing, we prefer to talk about calendar year rather than fiscal year because then we don't get blamed for the quarter where they're shoveling money out the window.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

And if you look at that, then year over year, calendar year, we're down $390 billion.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

And it extrapolates to maybe six for the year.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

And about a third of it is higher revenues, tax revenues, because of higher growth.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

About a third of it is tariff revenue.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

And about a third of it is reduced government spending.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

But if, you know, if we stay on path and cut the deficit by 600 billion, that's, you know,

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

with a little bit of growth, you're looking at 7 or 8 trillion over 10, that's like a very significant event that reduces inflation with a big macroeconomic punch to inflation.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

And so against that backdrop, when it was July, we hadn't seen all this positive development yet.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

And so when we

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

We're negotiating with Congress with a big, beautiful bill.

Bloomberg Talks
NEC Director Kevin Hassett Talks the Economy

Then it was the position of the president that the tariff revenue should just buy down the national debt.