Keyu Jin
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Ask the Chinese young generation.
They would one day like to see unification.
It's part of the patriotic, the dream, if you will.
So, and it's a chip, right, between the U.S.
and China.
So everybody is watching Taiwan, but I'd say that this attention is not necessarily good for Taiwan because all this uncertainty, all the political risk has meant that investment there has dramatically been curtailed.
And mainland China is a very, very important economic partner to the Taiwanese economy.
I think that I don't have a lot of views around this, but I just say this.
I think there's more political wisdom of the Chinese government side than we assume outside of China.
And that strategic ambiguity, but also strategic patience, especially given China's economic situation currently, is
means that more likely or not, I think that if China does really well economically, and Taiwan is not doing as well economically as we've seen, that over time, this is still the best strategy from China's point of view to resolve these differences.
I think any military use and action would be actually quite detrimental to China.
Well, first of all, you have to keep the communication channel open, right?
There was a risk of that being shut off during the Biden administration.
That's highly, highly dangerous.
Yeah.
There's also something that I think people miss, which is that the soldiers in mainland China, that's part of the one-child policy generation, right?
There's only one son.
Families have only one son.
And I think to assume that the Chinese people desire and would be able to forsake that generation for unification purposes or be able to tolerate lost lives for this, I think is also a bit of an exaggeration and stress.