Kirk Goldsberry

And without him, their MVP, it is pretty easy to predict where they're going to land.

But it's clearly the league is hedging on Joel Embiid playing somewhere around 56 games.

What are the odds?

What is his over-under in your head if you're setting it for how many games Joel Embiid would play?

You hear that fan duel?

We need an over-under for Joel Embiid games played.

And just to give you credit, I've been reading you for 20 years now, whatever, 25 years, but you've been talking about age curves before they were common.

And one of my favorite sites on the internet, shout out to Darko, the NBA stats app.

They have these aging curves that are really, really strong for publicly available.

And if you look at Joel and Paul George's career trajectory, you'll see exactly what you just outlined.

Yeah.

Very troubling declines in their 30s.

Not unusual, by the way.

NBA players rarely make it to 36, 37 and in one piece and playing is better.

There's no and LeBron has deformed our expectations in this regard, but it doesn't count.

He doesn't count.

And Kevin even, I mean, playing this well at age 37.

So some of these guys are distracting us from a more common rank and file reality of aging.

And Paul George is definitely on that typical downturn.

South Beach is undefeated, as they say.