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Konstantin Kisin

πŸ‘€ Speaker
9054 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

They say that 40% of the labor force is doing work that can be done remotely.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

That is on the order of tens of trillions of dollars of wages that are being paid to humans every single year to do work that can be done remotely.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Currently, labs are making on the order, if you just add up all the revenues, how much money OpenAI and Anthropic and Google are making, they're making, I don't know, the numbers keep exploding, so who knows what the most recent numbers are, but they'd say close to $40-$50 billion.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

We're talking about an addressable market here with all knowledge work that is tens of trillions of dollars.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

So literally a thousand X bigger than what they're doing right now.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

So it explains why they're interested in it.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It would also mean that a lot of people's jobs would be gone.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It would also mean... It would mean a lot of things, right?

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It would mean... It's a terrible thing in one sense.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Lots of people's jobs are gone.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

In another sense, we can produce a lot more things.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

There would be all kinds of, you know... AGI would include automated scientists and researchers coming up with new ideas and new medicines and new drugs.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It would mean all kinds of new products for us to enjoy.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

It would mean that...

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

You and I would have basically an army of extremely smart personal assistants constantly thinking about us and helping us.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

Okay, so that's the definition of AGI.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

I think that's actually a great, like that's, it's a great intuition pump because people are thinking about existing things.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

I'm just doing like a fancy of like, that's a great point.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

You know, let's build on that.

TRIGGERnometry
People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel

So one thing is just like making going to the dentist more efficient, as you were saying.