Konstantin Kisin
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
They say that 40% of the labor force is doing work that can be done remotely.
That is on the order of tens of trillions of dollars of wages that are being paid to humans every single year to do work that can be done remotely.
Currently, labs are making on the order, if you just add up all the revenues, how much money OpenAI and Anthropic and Google are making, they're making, I don't know, the numbers keep exploding, so who knows what the most recent numbers are, but they'd say close to $40-$50 billion.
We're talking about an addressable market here with all knowledge work that is tens of trillions of dollars.
So literally a thousand X bigger than what they're doing right now.
So it explains why they're interested in it.
It would also mean that a lot of people's jobs would be gone.
It would also mean... It would mean a lot of things, right?
It would mean... It's a terrible thing in one sense.
Lots of people's jobs are gone.
In another sense, we can produce a lot more things.
There would be all kinds of, you know... AGI would include automated scientists and researchers coming up with new ideas and new medicines and new drugs.
It would mean all kinds of new products for us to enjoy.
It would mean that...
You and I would have basically an army of extremely smart personal assistants constantly thinking about us and helping us.
Okay, so that's the definition of AGI.
I think that's actually a great, like that's, it's a great intuition pump because people are thinking about existing things.
I'm just doing like a fancy of like, that's a great point.
You know, let's build on that.
So one thing is just like making going to the dentist more efficient, as you were saying.