Krystal Ball
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Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Without, again, those who would like to see us go back to war successfully undermining any sort of potential deal as they did in the past.
But I do think Sagar is very telling that the Iranians put out, you know, their version of what this all looks like.
But the Americans have not done so, I think, because Trump understands that.
how difficult this is going to be to sell to, you know, the neocons and the Zionists that are part of his political coalition.
He understands that even for him who, you know, say what you want, and I say lots of things about Trump, he is a very good salesman, especially to his base.
I think he even understands that it will be difficult to frame the specific details here as a big win for the U.S.
Also on this piece about whether or not they're going to be tolls for the Strait of Hormuz, we've talked before about how it appears what the Iranians are going to do is like, well,
Well, no, we're not going to call it a toll.
We'll call it an environmental responsibility payment for services rendered.
And it looks like the street will be run with Iran and Oman.
It looks like there will be sanctions relief.
It looks like their assets will be unfrozen.
It looks like there will be a lot of money put in for reconstruction into the country.
And you can hear in J.D.
Vance's comments there, he says, well, this is going to transform the Middle East.
That part is true.
I think the war has already transformed not only the Middle East, but the global order.
And he says this will give us a reason why we can be less present in the region, which is a way of framing our withdrawal from the Middle East as a win, as if we weren't sort of forced out of these bases and forced out of these positions at gunpoint.
Sure.
Yeah, I mean, absolutely no doubt about it.