Krystal Ball

Yeah, for hawks, whether it's Mike Pompeo or the Israelis, this is, yes, that is the hope that it's a trap.

Everything falls apart, and it just—everything goes—it resumes.

Let's put this post up from Ibrahim Azizi, who is the head of the Security Commission of the Iranian Parliament, who posted, Yesterday, Iranian resilience forced a strategic pivot.

The U.S.

came to the table on Iran's terms.

Now Washington must prove its commitment by ending the war against Lebanon and upholding every clause of the MOU.

Any breach will be met with a decisive, crushing response.

The

era of unilateral imposition against Iranians is over.

So both sides eager to claim this as a big win.

But the leaked Bloomberg text, even if it's not completely accurate, which I doubt that it's completely accurate, it's clearly the bones of what the agreement is going to look like.

And it's

brutal for Trump.

There's just no other way to put it, unless you have faith that in the 60-day period, he does come to some type of transformative negotiation that is really unexpected and different.

And for whatever reason, he's able to extract that in the next 60 days, but not while we were at war.

And what Trump has done very cleverly is he has taken the humiliation that would be his for this, and he has pushed it over onto Netanyahu.

And by creating this rift with Netanyahu and by publicly humiliating him, he then agitates all of Netanyahu's and Israel's defenders, who then very loudly say,

make absurd arguments about how Trump is a traitor and Trump betrayed them and Trump should have put boots on the ground or Trump should continue the war.

And that creates so much noise and drama

that we forget that Trump is owed a lot of humiliation as well.