Krystal Ball

change does not happen overnight.

The iPhone was released in 2007, I want to say.

Ubiquitous smartphone adoption took four years.

It was not till 2011 that everybody really had an iPhone or a Galaxy, you know, one of these smartphones.

And like the addiction data started to really show up even then in 2012.

So it took five years.

So I think AI will be very similar.

Like you can see what the future may look like.

You're never going to know

100%, but you gotta take some of these dangers very seriously.

I just think as a generation,

We have lived long enough through technological change to know almost certainly that the promises of how great things are gonna be are almost certainly not true.

And I think we should really grapple with that.

I lived through the iPhone.

I was an adult whenever it came out.

It was the first smartphone I ever had, and I thought it was the coolest thing in the world.

And sitting here, what, 16 years or so after I got my first iPhone 4, I don't think I'm better off with a smartphone.

I can say that pretty clearly.

I wonder what a lot of other people think.

But that's why with the AI skepticism that you have to have, I've seen all these promises sometimes by the very same people about how much better off that we would be.