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Lana

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2056 total appearances
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The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

You've got questions.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

He's got your answers.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

Carl, what have you got for us?

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

Thanks, Carl.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

Next up.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

Japan's prime minister might call an earlier-than-expected general election as soon as next month, so investors promptly dusted off the Takaichi trade.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

Japan's first female prime minister only took office in October, but she already seems eager to swap flattering poll numbers for real votes in the ballot box.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

Investors reignited the Takaichi trade, shoving stocks higher while knocking the yen lower on expectations of more government spending and steady interest rates.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

The Nikkei 225 index notched a record high, leaving it about 6% higher since the start of the year.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

The yen fell to its weakest level against the US dollar since July 2024, back when the Japanese government had to burn through roughly $100 billion to prop it up.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

A weaker yen can give Japanese firms a lift, making the money they earn abroad worth more when it's brought home.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

That can help push stock prices even higher.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

Still, policymakers won't want the yen to fall too fast.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

While a weaker currency makes exporting more lucrative, it also makes imports more expensive.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

That can stoke inflation and squeeze households.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

And with Japan's finance minister already sounding the alarm, traders are wary of possible further intervention.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

Even at its highest in 30 years, Japan's benchmark rate is still only about 0.75%, far below that of the US and Europe.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

That makes the yen an attractive form of cheap funding for a carry trade, where investors borrow in an affordable currency and park that money in higher return markets abroad.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

With so many investors effectively selling the yen, its value keeps getting pushed down.

The Finimize Daily Brief
China Booked A Record-Breaking Trade Surplus, And A Possible Election In Japan Sent Its Stock Market And Currency In Opposite Directions

And unless Japan lifts interest rates closer to other major economies' levels, that pressure is unlikely to let up.