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Lawrence Gillum

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
21 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

Corporate bonds are generally viewed as riskier than government bonds, so they tend to pay higher yields.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

But when it comes to big tech companies, investors don't see that much more risk.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

So when it comes to the interest on their bonds?

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

That's Lawrence Gillum at LPL Financial.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

He says the rates big tech companies pay could always go up.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

For instance, if a big wave of new corporate bonds floods the market, supply might outweigh demand.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

In other words, pay more interest to attract more investment.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

And if that happens, investors who'd otherwise pour money into the safety of government bonds could be persuaded to throw some money at the corporate sector.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

Anna Cieslak is a finance professor at Duke University.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

She says if investors start to favor corporate bonds over treasuries, the interest rate the government pays to borrow could be affected too.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

That, in turn, could make all kinds of consumer borrowing more expensive.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

Mortgages, credit cards, auto loans.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

But Cieslak says that's not guaranteed.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

For one, corporate bond yields might not rise if there's enough demand for that debt.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

Plus, there are many other factors that could also influence bond yields this year.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

Stock market volatility, inflation expectations, tariff uncertainty.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

Zachary Griffiths at the research company Credit Sites says if growth slows this year, government bond yields could actually fall.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

But either way, the sheer amount of new debt expected to hit the market this year will affect rates.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

Lawrence Gillum at LPL Financial says the Treasury Department is also going to issue trillions of dollars worth of new debt.

Marketplace All-in-One
The ripple effects of AI splurging

Especially, he says, if companies keep selling trillions of dollars of bonds.

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