Lee Kuhnle
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And then also it's a major like shipping route and, you know, it's the Caribbean and off the coast of Florida.
I mean, there's a lot of traffic there, both air traffic and ship traffic.
Yeah, randomness doesn't work the way we expect it to.
Like if I ask you to pick a random number from 1 to 10, you'll have your biases.
If I ask you to pick 100 random numbers, you're like, well, maybe I don't have too many repeats in that list because repeated numbers aren't random.
But in fact, repeated numbers can be random.
We have a cognitive bias where we sort of assign meaning to statistical anomalies when there isn't.
At the risk of derailing your point here, I do want to talk about the methane bubbles because I mentioned it before the break.
It's just a very, it's this idea that there's underwater volcanoes, the earth, you know, there's, there's,
earth under the ocean and in it, there can be volcanic activity.
And sometimes those volcanoes or those, you know, active under the earth's crust stuff can release gases, you know, like imagine the gas coming out of a volcano.
Sometimes those gases are methane and methane has a different buoyancy property.
I don't know, coefficient factor, whatever.
I guess what I'm trying to say is if you're in the ocean, there's a lot of bubbles coming up from the earth, your ship will sink.
And if you're in the air and that gas rises into the atmosphere, the mechanics of how a plane works and how wings produce lift, that'll stop happening.
And so if this event happens, which occasionally does, your ship will sink, your plane will go down.
We're not saying that happens under the Bermuda, but that could be a plausible explanation.
And I think it's a cool one.
I'm also okay with it's a statistical anomaly or...
We don't know.