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Lou Whiteman

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
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4207 total appearances

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Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

I mean, we're seeing inflation outpace annual wage growth.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

for the first time in three years that actually drove real inflation adjusted hourly earnings down by 0.3% based on this recent readout.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

Now, there's been some speculation that this could maybe alter the Fed's playbook, right?

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

We're seeing fixed income markets are kind of adjusting to this higher for longer rate environment.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

You've got some analysts floating the possibility of a rate hike.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

But I think ultimately we're seeing a reality where there's this prolonged gap between sticky inflation.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

We're seeing low yielding traditional bank accounts means the cash reserves might rapidly lose their purchasing power.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

So there are a lot of first and second order impacts on consumers.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

And it's something that's not just going to go away, even if the current conflict that we're seeing that's driving some of these price hikes is to abate in the next two, three weeks.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

Yeah, I mean, the reverberations are basically across every sector you can think of.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

And that's why PPI is so important.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

It acts as this very key indicator of inflation.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

It tracks price fluctuations before they ever reach consumers.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

So you kind of think of it as the early warning system for consumers, right?

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

Consumer price index tracks what you and I pay at the register.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

But the producer price index, or PPI, attracts inflation to the factory floor.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

So what businesses are paying for raw materials, like you just mentioned?

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

Fuel, wholesale supplies, before those products ever reach a store shelf.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

And we are seeing astronomical spikes in the cost of energy to run factories, food ingredients for packaging, and just the baseline services required to ship goods.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Market Just Got a Huge Warning Sign

And so if you're looking at this as an investor,