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Marcus Hutter

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
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912 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

Yeah, so you have a planning problem up to horizon M, and that's exponential time in the horizon M, which is, I mean, it's computable, but intractable.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

I mean, even for chess, it's already intractable to do that exactly for Go.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

But it could be also discounted kind of framework where... Yeah, so having a hard horizon at 100 years, it's just for simplicity of discussing the model, and also sometimes the math is simple.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

But there are lots of variations.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

It's actually a quite interesting parameter.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

There's nothing...

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

really problematic about it, but it's very interesting.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

So for instance, you think, no, let's let the parameter m tend to infinity, right?

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

You want an agent which lives forever, right?

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

If you do it naively, you have two problems.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

First, the mathematics breaks down because you have an infinite reward sum, which may give infinity, and getting reward 0.1 every time step is infinity, and giving reward 1 every time step is infinity, so equally good.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

Not really what we want.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

Other problem is that if you have an infinite life,

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

You can be lazy for as long as you want for 10 years and then catch up with the same expected reward.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

And, you know, think about yourself or, you know, or maybe, you know, some friends or so.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

If they knew they lived forever, you know, why work hard now?

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

You know, just enjoy your life, you know, and then catch up later.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

So that's another problem with the infinite horizon.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

And you mentioned, yes, we can go to discounting.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

But then the standard discounting is so-called geometric discounting.