Mark Halperin

Michigan's another race that's an open seat retiring incumbent.

And Republicans have, once again, a guy who's a very good candidate.

Mike Rogers, former congressman, ran two years ago and narrowly lost to win the Senate race there.

He's back at it, basically uncontested in an August primary.

And he's not the best fundraiser, but he's okay.

And there's a lot of support from the party, like Sununu.

He has the support of President Trump and the MAGA operation.

And the best argument for why Democrats may lose this seat

is they've got a contested three-way primary, and none of these candidates are absolute top-tier Senate candidates, and one or two of them may be weak candidates in the general election in Michigan.

Haley Stevens is a congresswoman.

She's kind of the establishment favorite.

Mallory McMurray has been in the public eye.

She's a state legislator, state senator, but she's

been kind of a darling of social media and of the MS Now crowd.

And then Abdul Aissed is a doctor who's the Bernie Sanders candidate in this race.

Very, very progressive guy.

Again, if you were just taking out the fundraising, if you were taking out even the state, it just said experienced candidate quality.

Mike Rogers is a stronger, more experienced candidate than the three Democrats.

Now,

All three Democrats have the chance to sort of grow into the role once they win the nomination in August.