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Matt Bevan

👤 Speaker
3388 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

While the landlocked Bolivians try to figure out how to get their lithium to the coast, the famously sea-girt Australians did what they did best, digging up rocks and shipping them to China.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

In 2022, the price of lithium skyrocketed, largely because of a surge in demand for electric vehicles.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

So Australian miners began cashing in.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

This all could have been very simple for China.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

just buy lithium from established producers like Australia and Chile.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

No worries, as we say in Australia.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

Yapol, as they say in Chile.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

But Xi Jinping had a more complex plan.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

And buying lithium from Australia and Chile, two strong allies of the United States, was, in their view, not ideal.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

So China started investing billions of dollars into developing lithium mining operations in Bolivia and scaling up its own domestic lithium mining capacity.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

Jiangxi province in eastern China has lithium deposits, but they're low quality and very expensive to extract.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

But that didn't matter because China was determined not to buy from a US ally.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

Once they were up and running, Jiangxi's mines started flooding the market with cheap lithium, despite running at a massive loss.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

That extra supply, combined with slower demand for batteries and EVs, sent prices tumbling.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

For Australian lithium miners like Minres boss Chris Ellison, the situation was dire.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

China's grip on the market meant many Australian mines were shut down as prices fell below the cost of production.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

This strategy by Xi Jinping isn't unique to lithium either.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

As we've discussed on this show before, China has managed to monopolise production of all sorts of critical minerals by running their mining and processing operations at a loss and ignoring environmental regulations.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

Ever since he was inaugurated as president in 2013, Xi Jinping has been spending literally trillions of dollars on global infrastructure projects that make little to no economic sense.

If You're Listening
Trump and Xi Jinping’s deadly game of chess

Railway lines across Africa, pipelines across Pakistan and Myanmar, stadiums in Solomon Islands, ports scattered all around the world.