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Matt Frankel

šŸ‘¤ Speaker
2524 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

So it was a spinoff.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

So let me tell you a quick story.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

So about a year ago, Lumentum set a long-term target that they plan to get to, quote, eventually of $3 billion in annualized run rate revenue and a 20% operating margin.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

It wasn't even close to that a year ago.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

Now, fast forward a year to now, Lumentum has $3.2 billion of annual recurring revenue and a 32% operating margin.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

It has already surpassed its long-term targets in a year.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

Now management sees a path to $8 billion in annual run rate revenue, and that's not even including that new manufacturing facility that with NVIDIA, it's going to be its key customer, that's going to be capable of an additional $5 billion of revenue when it comes online in 2028.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

So let me be totally clear.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

At more than 30 times sales and 62 times even generous forward earnings estimates,

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

Lumentum is not a cheap stock, but it could be the most attractive, quote, expensive stock that's on my radar right now.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

So this was a harder question than you might have thought to answer.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

Just to John's point, if an AI bubble does pop, there are a lot of AI adjacent stocks that you might not think of.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

Like the financial sector is one of my big focus areas.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

There's so much AI that kind of permeates even through the traditional banks like Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

that you know they're investing so much in ai right now the insurance industry progressive's one of my favorite stocks right now but they're considered like the ai leader of insurance so like you know there's so many like little you know ai has its claws in a lot of things so i'm going to try to name just a few that are on my watch list that have little exposure to ai i don't want to say none um trex is one of them t-r-e-x i'm a big proponent of housing right now and

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

and especially people investing in their homes.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

I think we're gonna see a refinancing wave whenever interest rates decide to turn.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

Trex will be a big beneficiary of that.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

Companies like Home Depot have specifically called out higher interest rates and the reason why people are delaying big projects.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
AI Is Supplying Blowout Earnings…Again

I look at some of these companies, even Home Depot, as kind of like a loaded spring right now that, you know, when people decide to really pull the trigger on projects.